Monthly Archives: May 2018

In Her Own Words

 

Judge Judy often reminds the participants in her “courtroom,” people who tell the truth do not need to have good memories.  In other words, if you are going to make up a story to plead your case, you better be consistent from moment to moment.  The credibility of witnesses in criminal cases often hinges on discrepancies between what they say under oath during a trial, what they said in a discovery deposition or when questioned by law enforcement following their arrest or identified as a witness to the crime.

The nominee for CIA director Gina Haspel would have been better served during her confirmation hearing before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence if she heeded Judge Judy’s advice.  A major sticking point in Haspel’s confirmation was her participation in enhanced interrogation of 9/11 detainees at a black site prison in Thailand in 2002.  While Haspel promised that enhanced interrogation techniques would no longer be used because they had been legislatively outlawed, several senators including Kamala Harris (CA) wanted to know whether, legal issues aside, Haspel, in hindsight, now believed some of the past actions of the CIA were immoral.  Haspel refused to give a yes or no response.

Image result for gina haspelThen, in the final questioning of the session, Haspel showed not only had she forgotten what she  said months or years ago, her memory failed her after a matter of seconds. The following is an exchange between the nominee and Senator Jack Reed (RI) who is an ex-officio member of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence by virtue of his serving as ranking member on the Senate Armed Services Committee.

REED:  If one of your operations officers was captured and subjected to waterboarding or enhanced interrogation. would you consider that to be immoral since the enemy does not have legal restrictions and good trade practices as you appeared to do when you were involved previously?

HASPEL:  Senator, I don’t believe the terrorists follow any guidelines or civilized norms or law.  CIA follows the law.

REED:  You seem to be saying you were not following civilized norms or the law or anything else when you were conducting those same kinds of activities if you’re going to use that analogy.

HASPEL:  Senator, can you repeat the question?

REED:  It’s very simple, you have an operations officer who has been captured and is subjected to waterboarding.  I’m asking if you think that would be immoral and something that should never be done in any shape or form.  Your response seems to be civilized nations don’t do it.  Uncivilized nations do it.  Uncivilized groups do it.  A civilized nation was doing it until outlawed by this Congress.

HASPEL:  Senator, I would obviously never support inhumane treatment of any CIA officer.  I do not believe there is any comparison of CIA officers who are following the law and terrorists who do not follow anybody’s law.

Just so we understand, Haspel not only implied that people who use waterboarding and other torture are not only uncivilized and unlawful, they are “inhumane” (her word).  So forget the United States, in 1988,  became a signatory to the United National Convention Against Torture (UNCAT) and thus violated international law.  Forget torture by our enemies is uncivilized but was deemed acceptable when employed by CIA operatives.  Haspel made the case a 2002 memorandum from the White House legal counsel John Loo for a go-ahead to waterboard detainees authorized “inhumane” acts.

There were other things which bothered me watching the hearing.  Notice how Haspel, while being questioned by both friendly and non-friendly senators, tended to look at her notes rather than the questioner.  Why would she do that?  Was she more interested in reminding herself what she was suppose to say rather than what she really believed?  Were some of the exchanges scripted?

And when asked what she would do if the president asked her to reinstate enhanced interrogation techniques, Haspel said she could not imagine him doing that.  Another memory lapse?  Did she not remember Donald Trump’s comments in 2016, “I would bring back waterboarding, and I would bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding.”  This is the individual who justified his violation of the Iran nuclear agreement by saying, “I always keep my promises.”  When reminded of this comment, she then pivoted and told the committee she did not deal in hypotheticals.

Okay then, no hypotheticals.  Ms. Haspel, would you personally support the nomination of a candidate for CIA director who refuses to say, in hindsight,  actions taken by the CIA similar to those used at the Thailand black site under your supervision are unlawful and inhumane even though the nominee has used those exact words in her testimony before the committee when describing such actions by our enemies?  If your answer is yes, are you saying, at some future date under the right circumstances you are okay if the CIA director reinstates enhanced interrogation techniques?  If your answer is no, you seem to have just disqualified yourself.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

I Hate It When I’m Right

 

Last night, Bill Maher became the most recent defender of Michelle Wolf’s performance at the White House Correspondents Dinner (WHCD). He echoed others by saying, “She did her job!” Yes. If her job was to create sympathy for Donald Trump. On April 28, the day of the WHCD dinner Trump’s approval rating according to the Real Clear Politics average was minus 12.4 percent. This morning it sits at minus 7.7 percent.  The 44.4 percent approval rating is Trump’s highest since February 20, 2017  when a lot of skeptics were still saying, “Give him a chance.”

Let’s see.  What are all the positive things that have happened over the past seven days which might account for this shift in the polls?

  • More evidence that the D.C. “swamp” has gotten even swampier a la Scott Pruitt and Ronny Jackson?  NO!
  • Admission everyone in the Trump White House and members of his legal team cannot seem to get their Stormy Daniels story straight?  NO!
  • A Chinese boycott of U.S. grown sorghum which will have a major impact on the farm states which voted overwhelmingly for Trump?  NO!
  • Admission by Marco Rubio the GOP Tax Bill he voted for has not helped working Americans?  NO!
  • VP Mike Pence calling pardoned former Maricopa County sheriff and Arizona Senate candidate Joe Arpaio “a tireless champion of the rule of law?”  NO!
  •  Law suits by seven states to force Trump and the Justice Department to end the DACA program?  NO!
  • Emails which indicate Natalia Veselnitskaya, the Russian lawyer who attended the June 2016 meeting in Trump Tower was an informant with direct ties to  Putin’s prosecutor general Yuri Chaika?  NO!
  • Pew and Monmouth polls which show a majority of Americans support special counsel Robert Mueller and his ability to complete the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election?  NO!

I no longer expect any of these or future revelations to influence Trump’s 35-40 percent base.  But this nearly five percent approval increase is coming from somewhere else.  I would bet the mortgage these voters have not changed their support for permanent status for DACA eligible immigrants, net neutrality, legalization of marijuana, reasonable gun control legislation, affordable health care, etc.  On all of these issues, a decisive majority support the progressive position.

Trump seems to succeed only when he identifies opponents and then tags them as the epitome of everything that is wrong with the United States.  For three years, it was Hillary Clinton.  And Nancy Pelosi.  Then Kathy Griffin.  Now Michelle Wolf, handed to Trump on a silver platter, joins the Four Horsewomen of the Apocalypse.  And it is significant his targets are always women.  A tenet of 1950s-based Trumpism is that the female gender is an economic and cultural threat to post-war America when “things were great.”

Wolf’s defenders are also calling out the White House press for apologizing to the White House and public for her remarks.  “What did they expect?”  Wolf, herself, echoed as much.  After her first reference to porn stars, she said, “Yep, kiddos this is who you’re getting tonight.”  But it is unfair to lay all the blame at the feet of those who sponsored this event for the purpose of underwriting the education and careers of their potential successors.

This is a culture war.  And you do not win by enlisting stereotypes who play into the hands of your opponents.  If we had a living,  breathing Democratic National Committee (DNC) they should have been the first to raise a red flag.  As soon as Trump announced he would stage a political rally opposite the WHCD, several things were obvious.  First, Trump would use his platform to reinforce the view that the White House press is an elite group of Washington insiders out to get him.  CHECK  Second, by encouraging members of his staff to attend, especially Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Trump knew there would be photo ops of tortured faces as his team was roasted.  CHECK  Third, in Trump’s absence there would be no counterbalance to the comedian’s shtick, regardless of who it was.  Americans love a fair fight, and this would not be one.  CHECK  CHECK

DNC Chair Tom Perez should have known better.  Obama’s former communications gurus such as David Axelrod or Josh Earnest, who were responsible for their boss’ widely praised performances at previous WHCDs, should have stepped in and offered some advice.  Think about this event as a special episode of “Friends,” not the Red Wedding from “Game of Thrones.”  How about two comedians in the SNL tradition of Jane Curtain and Dan Aykroyd’s “Point/Counter-Point?”  How about a comedian who would roast members of the White House press corps rather than Trump?  A little self-deprecating humor might have gone a long way toward offsetting Trump’s rants about the fourth estate.  And it would have put human faces on the hard-working journalists who Trump calls “the enemy of the people.”  Every pundit who covers this administration constantly says, “This is not business as usual.”  Then neither should the WHCD have been business as usual.

Ben Bradlee is turning over in his grave.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP

 

I, Non-Robot

 

Image result for google project oxygenLast December, the Washington Post published an article titled, “The surprising thing Google learned about its employees — and what it means for today’s students.”  After years of hiring based on “algorithms to sort for computer science students with top grades from elite science universities,”  Google asked an important question.  This may be fine for hiring, but does it hold water when one looks at employee success records?  Using data on promotions, awards and dismissals since its founding in 1998, Google found just the opposite.

Project Oxygen shocked everyone by concluding that, among the eight most important qualities of Google’s top employees, STEM expertise comes in dead last. The seven top characteristics of success at Google are all soft skills: being a good coach; communicating and listening well; possessing insights into others (including others different values and points of view); having empathy toward and being supportive of one’s colleagues; being a good critical thinker and problem solver; and being able to make connections across complex ideas. (Washington Post, December 20, 2017)

A new interest in these “soft skills” has taken the education market by storm.  I was reminded of the Post article when I received the results of a recent survey conducted by Adobe.  They had asked users of their Creative Cloud Suite, “What are the barriers to teaching creative problem solving in schools today?”  Seventy nine percent replied “lack of time to create.”  No argument here.  It was the next six reasons that sent shivers down by spine.

  • Lack of educator training for new software (77%)
  • Lack of access to software in classrooms (73%)
  • Lack of student software at home (73%)
  • Outdated standardized testing requirements (72%)
  • Lack of access to hardware in classrooms (71%)
  • Lack of student access to hardware at home (70%)

Our ancestors, since the dawn of time, came up with ideas without the benefit of CPUs and algorithms.  When a cave person observed it was easier to push a round stone than a flat one, he had no Apple Computer or Adobe Creative Suite.  Today, machines help us design and manufacture safe and more efficient tires, but not a single one came up with the concept of racing stripes or using nitrogen instead of oxygen to maintain stable tire pressure.

Hardware and software are not tools for coming up with ideas, they implement ideas.  My favorite example.  Dan Bricklin, an MBA student at Harvard, gazes at an NBI word processor and wonders, “Can we also digitally manipulate numbers the same way?”  Thus was born the electronic spreadsheet.

In 2010, at a TEDx session in Conejo, California, Rudy Poe, co-founder of the ImagineIt Project, opened his talk by asking attendees to look around the room.  He then reminded them everything in that room, at one time, only existed in someone’s imagination.  I know what you’re thinking.  “Dr. ESP, we are only at the threshold of artificial intelligence.  How can you possibly know what computers and software will be able to do in the future?”

You’re right.  I don’t.  But I do know there is a difference between artificial intelligence and artificial imagination.  Artificial intelligence is defined as:

the theory and development of computer systems able to perform tasks that normally require human intelligence, such as visual perception, speech recognition, decision-making, and translation between languages.

Related imageMy smartphone can visually recognize objects, comprehend speech and translate between languages.  I would not call it intelligent.  The only task listed in this definition which approaches mental agility is decision making.  But a machine’s “brilliance” is dependent on the range and accuracy of information it has been fed by humans or has gathered from other sources fed by humans.  My phone tells me that gray organism with the long facial extremity is an “elephant.”  It did not come up with the term “elephant” or the name of anything else it perceives.

If you really believe what machines can do is “artificial intelligence,” you then have to believe a human, given the ability to process the same amount of data at an equivalent speed, would make the same decision as a computer in every case.  The sole dividing line between man and machine is only capacity and velocity.  I am not willing to accept that.  Which brings me back to teaching critical thinking.  The 79 percent is correct.  First, find time to focus on this skill.  Then use those occasions to train students to develop new information rather than rely on what we already know.  Emphasize questions, not answers.  What else do I need to know before I try and solve this problem?  What if the current knowledge base is wrong or not really relevant?  What if the problem is misstated?  What am I missing?

What are you missing?  Above all else, the opportunity to approach and respond to a situation in a way no computer or software package ever could.

For what it’s worth.
Dr. ESP